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当前位置:功夫万条筒 > 行业资讯 > 7月份钝化无缝管市场整体需求将继续减弱
7月份钝化无缝管市场整体需求将继续减弱
作者:山东省龙川钢管制造有限公司    来源:http://480ascd.com    时间:2018/7/4 14:27:58

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5YUEFENCUGANGCHANLIANGJIXUPANSHENG   RICHANCHAOYUESHANGYUEZAICHUANGXINGAO

国家统计局数据显示,5月份,我国粗钢产量8113万吨,同比增长8.9%;我国钝化无缝管产量9707万吨,同比增长10.8%(详见图2)。1-5月,我国粗钢累计产量36986万吨,同比增长5.4%;我国钝化无缝管产量43467万吨,同比增长6.2%。就日产水平来看,5月份我国粗钢日产水平为261.7万吨,较4月份增加6.0万吨,增幅2.3%,再创历史新高。

功夫万条筒6YUEFEN,GANGTIEQIYEGAOLUKAIGONGLVJINYIBUSHANGSHENG。LANGEGANGTIEWANGTONGJIDE6YUEFENQUANGUOBAIJIAZHONGXIAOQIYEGAOLUKAIGONGLVJUNZHIWEI87.9%,JIAO5YUEFENSHANGSHENGLE1.8GEBAIFENDIAN。JUZHONGGUOGANGTIEGONGYEXIEHUITONGJISHUJUXIANSHI,6YUESHANGXUN,HUIYUANGANGTIEQIYELEIJICUGANGRICHANWEI199.3WANDUN,JIAOSHANGYUEXIAJIANG0.05%;QUANGUOYUGUCUGANGRICHANWEI251.9WANDUN,JIAOSHANGYUESHIJIRICHANXIAJIANG3.76%;JINGUAN6YUESHANGXUNYUGURICHANYOUSUOXIAJIANG,JIASHANGHUANBAO“HUITOUKAN”DUICHANLIANGSHIFANGXINGCHENGYIDINGZHIYUE,DANCONGMUQIANGAOLUKAIGONGLVQINGKUANGLAIKAN,YUJI6YUEFENGANGTIECHANLIANGRENGJIANGBAOCHIGAOSHUIPINGSHIFANG。

5月份我国钝化无缝管功夫万条筒出口量环比继续回升   后期形势仍较为严峻

海关统计数据显示,5月份我国出口钝化无缝管688.3万吨,较上月增加40.7万吨,环比上升6.3%,同比下降1.1%。(详见图3); 5月份我国进口钝化无缝管113.4万吨,较上月增加8.9万吨,环比上升8.5%,同比增长2.2%。1-5月,我国累计出口钝化无缝管2849万吨,同比下降16.3%;进口钝化无缝管功夫万条筒563万吨,同比下降0.7%。

6月份,美国和欧亚经济委员会分别对中国的钢制丙烷气瓶和镀锌板发起双反和反倾销调查。2018年上半年,在美国开启贸易保护主义的大棒的影响下,中国钢铁行业遭受贸易救济调查的数量明显上升。据兰格钢铁研究中心监测数据显示,2018年前6个月,其他国家对中国钢铁产品发起贸易救济调查22起,较去年同期增加12起。美国将于2018年7月6日对起545项约340亿美元的中国商品自实施加征关税,其后的160亿美元将何时实施?以及未来是否还会有更多变数,再加上各国贸易救济调查后的制裁,今年钝化无缝管出口形势仍较为严峻。

钝化无缝管功夫万条筒社会库存迎来拐点连升两周  后期或继续回升

6月份钝化无缝管社会库存呈继续先降后升态势。据兰格钢铁云商平台监测数据显示,截至6月29日,全国29个重点城市钝化无缝管社会库存量为873.1万吨,月环比下降13.7%,年同比上升4.7%。其中建筑钝化无缝管社会库存527.1万吨,月环比下降20.0%,年同比上升26.4%;板材社会库存346.0万吨,月环比下降2.0%,年同比下降17.1%。

钝化无缝管社会库存在3月9日达到年内高点后连降14周,6月后两周现小幅回升,预计后期随着需求的继续减弱,钝化无缝管社会库存将呈现明显回升的局面。

6YUEFENJIAOTANJIAGEJIXUSHANGZHANG  CHENGBENZHICHENGZUOYONGJINYIBUZENGQIANG

功夫万条筒6YUEFENGUONEITIEJINGFENJIAGELVEYOUSHANGZHANG,JINKOUTIEKUANGSHIJIAGEXIAOFUXIADIE。JULANGEGANGTIEYUNSHANGPINGTAIJIANCESHUJUXIANSHI,6YUEFEN,TANGSHANDIQU66%PINWEIGANJITIEJINGFENPINGJUNJIAGEWEI638YUAN,JIAOSHANGYUEJUNJIASHANGZHANG3YUAN,ZHANGFU0.5%;JINKOUTIEKUANGSHIFANGMIAN,AODALIYA61.5%FENKUANGRIZHAOGANGSHICHANGPINGJUNJIAGEWEI453YUAN,JIAOSHANGYUEJUNJIAXIADIE10YUAN,DIEFUWEI2.2%。

功夫万条筒6YUEFENYEJINJIAOJIAGEJIXUCHENGJIAODAFUDUSHANGZHANGTAISHI。JULANGEGANGTIEYUNSHANGPINGTAIJIANCESHUJUXIANSHI,6YUEFEN,TANGSHANDIQUERJIYEJINJIAOPINGJUNJIAGEWEI2205YUAN,JIAOSHANGYUEJUNJIASHANGZHANG348YUAN,ZHANGFUWEI18.7%。

6YUEFENYOUYUJIAOTANJIAGEDESHANGZHANGDAIDONG,CHENGBENDUIHOUQISHICHANGDEZHICHENGLIDUJINYIBUZENGQIANG。LANGEGANGTIEYUNSHANGPINGTAICHENGBENJIANCESHUJUXIANSHI,SHIYONG6YUEFENGOUMAIDEYUANRANLIAOSHENGCHANDEPUTANFANGPIPINGJUNCHENGBENJIAJIAOSHANGYUESHANGZHANG147YUAN,ZHANGFUWEI6.0%。

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综上所述,2018年6月份由于焦炭价格的上涨,成本对后期钝化无缝管价格的支撑作用有所增强;库存上升拐点显现,后期或继续回升;而7月份受高温多雨天气将进一步影响建筑施工项目,下游需求将继续减弱,市场供需矛盾将有所突显;预计7月份钢铁市场呈现震荡趋弱的态势。

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